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December 2007 Archives

December 4, 2007

PFW Fantasy Update: The Second Season

It's not official until Commish Modglin says it is, but since it's been a long time since we discussed the goings-on here in the internal PFW fantasy league, I figured it was time for an update -- especially with the regular season coming to a dramatic conclusion last night when the Patriots squeeked by the Ravens.

Earning the two division championships were esteemed Executive Editor Dan Arkush (9-4) -- who is annually in the mix with an amazing draft and a remarkable hands-off management style -- and the Commish himself, Trent Modglin. On the strength of one Randy Moss, Modglin (7-6) earned a tie-breaker win in a fiercely competitive division that saw five teams separated by a mere one win (keep your head up, Edholm). In fact, Modglin proudly wears the division crown thanks to a mere 3.5 points over Executive Editor Neil Warner. 

Justifiably, Warner gets a wild-card postseason berth as well, as does Senior Editor Mike Wilkening, on the strength of an 8-5 record in Dan's division, as well as in no small part due to the best team name in the league -- "Fantasy Doctor: The College Years." Rounding out the six-team bracket will be none other than Fitz on Fantasy himself -- who sports a frightening L.T.-A.P. backfield -- and yours truly -- who somehow scrounged an invite to defend the PFW title despite selecting S-Jax, Steve Smith, Marv and Cadillac in the first four rounds.

After a debaucherous locker room celebration, Arkush and Modglin will enjoy a hard-earned bye week. But it says here to watch out for Fitz: it's not been a year for fantasy backs, but Tomlinson and Peterson look awful tough to beat.  

 

 

December 9, 2007

Watch for weather

I just took an early-morning glance at a few of my lineups, and it bears mentioning that once again weather will likely be a factor in Week 14. In one league I've been carrying Shayne Graham and Phil Dawson, in case one had inclement conditions, and it appears both will in Cincy and New York, respectively. So rather than be beat by Mother Nature with my season on the line, I opted to grab Kris Brown in pleasant Houston, Texas. I wouldn't go overboard over-thinking weather issues as it pertains to quarterbacks, etc., but since kickers are as random as it gets, I prefer not to be beaten by field conditions.

Alternatively, if you're searching for a one-week sleeper defense -- perhaps you've got the Steelers drawing the high-octane Pats -- consider taking a quick look around the league for sloppy, ugly weather. The Bengals, as awful as they are on that side of the ball, do face Brock Berlin, for example.  

December 13, 2007

Now we're overreacting to weather?

Considering I've been cautioning about weather since Thanksgiving, you might be surprised to learn that I'm already nauseous over the up-to-the-minute weather reports about a major winter storm in New England on Sunday for the Pats-Jets clash.

Look, it's going to take a storm of mythical proportions for you to bench Tom Brady or Randy Moss in your fantasy playoffs. Might it affect how you use marginal guys like Ben Watson, Thomas Jones, Jabar Gaffney or Laurence Maroney? Absolutely.

But do me a favor; let's wait and see what the weather looks like on Sunday morning. After all, about the only thing that's as unpredictable as fantasy football is forecasting weather, especially four days in advance.

December 17, 2007

Westbrook kneel-down will go down in fantasy folklore

Ask fantasy owners who Billy Volek is and you will undoubtedly here about the legend of the gunslinger who put his career clipboard down for a two-game stretch in 2004 and broke out for 918 yards and eight passing touchdowns on unsuspecting fantasy competitors in the crunch time of Weeks 14 and 15.

With that in mind, consider what Brian Westbrook just did on Sunday. In Week 15, generally the "conference championship" of fantasy leagues, one of the most valuable players in all of fantasy football had an opportunity to cap another solid effort off with a game-crushing blow in the waning moments of the Eagles-Cowboys game. As you of course know by now, rather than depositing another six pointer in his fantasy owners' laps, Westbrook took a knee at the one.

Don't tell fantasy owners it was a wise move. They simply don't care. All they know is that Week 15 is do or die, that the play came late in the day with their fantasy lives on the line. Depending on whether you owned Westbrook or faced him, it will long be remembered as one of the most heartbreaking or life-saving moments in the history of fantasy football.

December 23, 2007

Weather a fantasy factor in Chicago, Cincy, Buffalo

After last week's Noreaster dashed fantasy hopes in Cleveland and New England, the big question for Week 16 is what the Doppler looks like across the NFL landscape. I'm no Brick Tamland, but my amateur perusal of weather.com tells me that weather could very well be a factor today in Chicago, Buffalo and Cincinatti.

Chicago - This one I can tell you just by looking out the window. The wind is howling out here and the forecast has some snow in it as well. Wind and snow are always worse on the shores of Lake Michigan, where Soldier Field resides. I'd be very judicious with how I use Brett Favre, Greg Jennings and Donald Driver and would cross kickers Mason Crosby and Robbie Gould off my list. You shouldn't be using anyone in the Bears passing game anyway.

Cincy - The Doppler looks clear in Cincy, but the wind could be a factor. I'm seeing wind reaching 30 mph throughout game time. Remember, the rain and snow and ice had subsided in New England last week, but the wind put a damper in Tom Brady's attack. Again, I'd cross the kickers off this list and would not use any periphery weapons in the passing games. While it's tough to bench studs like Braylon Edwards, Kellen Winslow and T.J. Houshmandzadeh, you can justify sitting Carson Palmer and Chad Johnson if you have solid options. 

Buffalo - Between 12 and 2 pm, the Buffalo forecast calls for rain/thunder/wind. In other words, not good. The nice thing is that you were likely not counting on Eli Manning, Trent Edwards or Lee Evans. I think you have to think twice about Plaxico Burress. We saw last week how effective Eli was in the wind...not very. The good news is that Brandon Jacobs and Marshawn Lynch, who were the primary fantasy factors in this one to begin with, remain very much in play. 

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About December 2007

This page contains all entries posted to Fantasy Footblog in December 2007. They are listed from oldest to newest.

November 2007 is the previous archive.

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