Frank Gore's broken hand is not, in and of itself, a major problem. He's expected to be ready for Week One, if not the end of the preseason. He'll be re-examined next week. No biggie. However, it's the larger issue at hand (no pun intended) that I'd like to discuss, and that is, the enormous risk that pervades this second-tier of fantasy runners, beginning with Gore and Shaun Alexander and continuing through other first-rounders such as Willie Parker, Brian Westbrook, Joseph Addai, etc.
Gore was a complete beast a year ago. Trust me, he helped win me a title, and I don't have to tell you how much that endears a player to his fantasy owner. But the entire time he was running away from defenders, I was just waiting for that injury to ruin his season. Look, the kid works his tail off and plays as hard as anyone in the game, but he has had two reconstructive knee surgeries and two shoulder surgeries and he's only 24 years old. His 2006 numbers alone make him a sure-fire, top-5 fantasy pick, but he's one bad step away from ruining your season. The same could be said about anyone in the NFL, but runners are particularly vulnerable, and guys like Gore, Westbrook, and Laurence Maroney have over the course of time proven to be even more vulnerable than others.
This is precisely why I find it mind-boggling that more owners do not consider Peyton Manning in the middle of the first round in QB-heavier scoring formats. Is he one hit away from ruining your season? Of course, he's a football player. But the fact that he's never sustained that kind of hit -- nor even one that has held him out of one single game in his entire career -- should tell you something. In my mind, the group of running backs after the Big Three (LT, LJ and S-Jax) is a crapshoot, while Manning is a sure thing. Just consider it; that's all I ask.
One other thing about Gore: Do not forget that early last season he lost his goal-line role and nearly his featured job when he fumbled in each of his first four games. It's worth monitoring whether this hand injury compromises his ability to secure the football. There is one silver lining for those owners who already have Gore on the roster or are targeting him in their draft. This will give the Niners a real good look at his backups, allowing Gore owners to get a better feel for his handcuff.